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Ben Casselman

Economics/business correspondent at The New York Times

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Growth is slowing. The yield curve is inverted. The Fed is cutting rates. So a recession must be coming, right? Not necessarily. But one will come eventually, and you don't want to be caught off-guard when it does. So in today's The New York Times , I provide a guide to recession-watching -- the indicators that have historically done the best job of predicting a downturn, and what they're showing now. Give it a read, and share your favorite indicators in the comments. #recession #economy #federalreserve …see more

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